A Look At How The European Endgame Is Drawing Near Tuesday, Sep 13 2011 

A Look At How The European Endgame Is Drawing Near

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4 Long / 2 Short Ideas For September Thursday, Sep 8 2011 

As the summer winds to a close, investors sift amongst the wreckage, and traders return to their desks, four opportunities stand out on the long side and two short ideas materialize. September can be a rough month for the markets and with the uncertainty of Congress returning to Washington, Europe moving closer to the precipice, and corporate America grinding to a halt, it looks as though market volatility is making itself comfortable.

4 Long / 2 Short Ideas For September

Bernanke And The Fed: The Risks And Long-Term Reasons To Hold Gold And Silver Thursday, Sep 8 2011 

The markets are looking for a panacea in the form of additional quantitative easing but the leaders may not be in the mood to offer up the fix they are seeking. In Europe, leaders of both France and Germany spoke of the need for greater and tighter economic integration, insisting on balanced budgets and a strong EU with the mandate to overrule sovereign nations.

Bernanke And The Fed: The Risks And Long-Term Reasons To Hold Gold And Silver

Dollar and Gold Breakout Imminent on European Worries Tuesday, Jul 12 2011 

Dollar and Gold Breakout Imminent on European Worries

3 Currency ETFs to Play a Rising Dollar Tuesday, May 24 2011 

3 Currency ETFs to Play a Rising Dollar

Investors looking for a hedge against recent market weakness should consider these three ETF’s to play a rising dollar.

4th Quarter Investment and Recommended List Thoughts Tuesday, Oct 5 2010 

The low for the year appears to be in and we are in a Presidential Cycle rally which should eventually take us back to the highs made earlier this year.

However, we are into October which is well known for the two previous crashes and not a generally positive month overall. October is one of the worst performing months for Gold so investors looking to add to Gold and Silver positions would be well advised to look for a buying opportunity as it comes becomes available this month.

For equities, it appears as though we are making a short-term top formation as worries are beginning to appear over not just third quarter earnings but the fourth quarter as well.

In addition, we have the unemployment rate on Friday along with 3rd Quarter GDP at the end of the month. Initial estimates have the GDP number coming in under 2% but we may just see a little boost given to the number, which has been the case over the past few quarters, only to see about a percent taken off in the revisions.

Investors would be well served to continue to follow the guidepost I put up at the beginning of the year focusing on blue chip stocks with solid dividends. Large institutions are just beginning to jump back on the dividend bandwagon and small investors would be well served to get aboard first.

With corporate balance sheets flush with cash we are likely to see a push for increased corporate stock buybacks and dividend increases along with increased M&A activity.

In terms of my recommended list, I like a number of global firms.

In Asia I am bullish on agriculture, banking, and stocks connected to automobile makers but not the automobile makers themselves.

In Europe, there are a number of interesting stocks in Greece which have no connection to the sovereign problems with strong dividend yields and are basing at the present time.

The German industrial machine is of particular interest with export demand showing signs of strength.

In North America, I like banks not in the US and oil and gas stocks with strong dividend yields.

Gold and Silver bullion is attractive while the best values in the mining industry continue to be at the exploration level rather than the development or production levels.

Defensive stocks with solid dividend yields will provide excellent value over the final quarter into next year.

You can contact me further details on the recommended list.

Disclaimer
Communications are intended solely for informational purposes. Statements made should not be construed as an endorsement, either expressed or implied. This article and the author is not responsible for typographic errors or other inaccuracies in the content. This article may not be reproduced without credit or permission from the author. We believe the information contained herein to be accurate and reliable. However, errors may occasionally occur. Therefore, all information and materials are provided “AS IS” without any warranty of any kind. Past results are not indicative of future results.
PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN THE STOCK, BOND, AND DERIVATIVE MARKETS. WHEN CONSIDERING ANY TYPE OF INVESTMENT, INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS: OFTEN ENGAGE IN LEVERAGING AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES THAT MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS, CAN BE ILLIQUID, ARE NOT REQUIRED TO PROVIDE PERIODIC PRICING OR VALUATION INFORMATION TO INVESTORS, MAY INVOLVE COMPLEX TAX STRUCTURES AND DELAYS IN DISTRIBUTING IMPORTANT TAX INFORMATION, ARE NOT SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.
Before making any type of investment, one should consult with an investment professional to consider whether the investment is appropriate for the individuals risk profile. This is not intended to be investment advice or a solicitation to purchase any of the securities listed here. I will not be held liable or responsible for any losses or damages, monetary or otherwise that result from the content of this article.

Technical Commentary – October 4th Monday, Oct 4 2010 

Greece (Athens) General Share – During the month of September while world markets moved higher Athens moved lower intent on retesting the lows made earlier this year. While the market and newsflow is depressing there are a few interesting equities with solid dividend yields unaffected by the sovereign problems who have been basing rather than moving lower.

Germany (DAX) – We have back to the top of the trading range for the DAX. There needs to be a breakout shortly although we may make one last move lower. The key will be holding the 200 week moving average and making it support rather than resistance.

Disclaimer
Communications are intended solely for informational purposes. Statements made should not be construed as an endorsement, either expressed or implied. This article and the author is not responsible for typographic errors or other inaccuracies in the content. This article may not be reproduced without credit or permission from the author. We believe the information contained herein to be accurate and reliable. However, errors may occasionally occur. Therefore, all information and materials are provided “AS IS” without any warranty of any kind. Past results are not indicative of future results.
PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN THE STOCK, BOND, AND DERIVATIVE MARKETS. WHEN CONSIDERING ANY TYPE OF INVESTMENT, INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS: OFTEN ENGAGE IN LEVERAGING AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES THAT MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS, CAN BE ILLIQUID, ARE NOT REQUIRED TO PROVIDE PERIODIC PRICING OR VALUATION INFORMATION TO INVESTORS, MAY INVOLVE COMPLEX TAX STRUCTURES AND DELAYS IN DISTRIBUTING IMPORTANT TAX INFORMATION, ARE NOT SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.
Before making any type of investment, one should consult with an investment professional to consider whether the investment is appropriate for the individuals risk profile. This is not intended to be investment advice or a solicitation to purchase any of the securities listed here. I will not be held liable or responsible for any losses or damages, monetary or otherwise that result from the content of this article.

Technical Commentary (Europe) – September 7th Tuesday, Sep 7 2010 

Greece (Athens) General Share – After the crisis this spring ran its course the ATG put in a nice double bottom in early June and July, which also confirmed the early 2009 bottom, and has moved up through the 50 day moving average. The short-term charts are mildly bullish with this week being key to see if the rally can continue and/or the 50 day moving average begins to provide support for the market. If so, there is a nice rally here up to the 1850 area.

The longer-term charts, while ugly, show a triple bottom around the 1500 level which provided a nice base in 2003, 2009, and 2010.

The Greek market looks to be a very nice contrarian play if the government continues to accept the bitter medicine it was prescribed this spring.

Unfortunately, there is no Greek ETF for small investors to play this rally.

Germany (DAX) – The short-term charts are bullish for Germany as it appears we are moving back to the top of the channel. Strong German economic performance is driving the DAX and we may see a breakout to new yearly highs later this year. The interesting part of the short-term charts are the higher lows on each selloff even if the high on the subsequent rally does not make a higher high.

The longer-term charts continue to rattle around between the 50 and 200 week moving averages making a strong base. An interesting note is the 50 month and 200 week moving averages are in the 6189 area providing serious resistance. A solid move above these levels on strong volume would likely see a move back up to the 8000 level.

US Commentary – We had a nice rally last week which was long overdue. This week will be slow due to the Labor Day holiday and Rosh Hashanah so trading volume is likely to be lighter than expected.

One thing that worries me about last week’s rally is how everyone seems to be tripping over themselves trying to call a bottom. That is typically not a good sign despite the bullish signals.

Disclaimer
Communications are intended solely for informational purposes. Statements made should not be construed as an endorsement, either expressed or implied. This article and the author is not responsible for typographic errors or other inaccuracies in the content. This article may not be reproduced without credit or permission from the author. We believe the information contained herein to be accurate and reliable. However, errors may occasionally occur. Therefore, all information and materials are provided “AS IS” without any warranty of any kind. Past results are not indicative of future results.
PAST RESULTS ARE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THERE IS RISK OF LOSS AS WELL AS THE OPPORTUNITY FOR GAIN WHEN INVESTING IN THE STOCK, BOND, AND DERIVATIVE MARKETS. WHEN CONSIDERING ANY TYPE OF INVESTMENT, INCLUDING HEDGE FUNDS, YOU SHOULD CONSIDER VARIOUS RISKS INCLUDING THE FACT THAT SOME PRODUCTS: OFTEN ENGAGE IN LEVERAGING AND OTHER SPECULATIVE INVESTMENT PRACTICES THAT MAY INCREASE THE RISK OF INVESTMENT LOSS, CAN BE ILLIQUID, ARE NOT REQUIRED TO PROVIDE PERIODIC PRICING OR VALUATION INFORMATION TO INVESTORS, MAY INVOLVE COMPLEX TAX STRUCTURES AND DELAYS IN DISTRIBUTING IMPORTANT TAX INFORMATION, ARE NOT SUBJECT TO THE SAME REGULATORY REQUIREMENTS AS MUTUAL FUNDS, OFTEN CHARGE HIGH FEES, AND IN MANY CASES THE UNDERLYING INVESTMENTS ARE NOT TRANSPARENT AND ARE KNOWN ONLY TO THE INVESTMENT MANAGER.
Before making any type of investment, one should consult with an investment professional to consider whether the investment is appropriate for the individuals risk profile. This is not intended to be investment advice or a solicitation to purchase any of the securities listed here. I will not be held liable or responsible for any losses or damages, monetary or otherwise that result from the content of this article.